{"id":32976,"date":"2023-06-29T02:35:45","date_gmt":"2023-06-29T00:35:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cmm.imgw.pl\/?p=32976"},"modified":"2023-06-29T02:35:50","modified_gmt":"2023-06-29T00:35:50","slug":"komentarz-do-numerycznych-prognoz-pogody-29-06-2023-opener-festival-2023-dzien-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cmm.imgw.pl\/?p=32976","title":{"rendered":"Komentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody (29.06.2023) Open’er Festival 2023 – dzie\u0144 2"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tre\u015b\u0107 komentarza do numerycznych prognoz meteorologicznych stanowi niezale\u017cne od biura prognoz meteorologicznych opracowanie wykonane w Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego i nie stanowi oficjalnej prognozy synoptycznej IMGW-PIB.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Opracowanie:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

dr Grzegorz Duniec, Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego IMGW-PIB<\/mark><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

Prognostyczna sytuacja baryczna nad Polsk\u0105 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Ni\u017c znad Bia\u0142orusi nieznacznie przemie\u015bci si\u0119 nad Rosj\u0119. Polska znajdzie si\u0119 na skraju klina wysokiego ci\u015bnienia. W nocy o\u015b klina nasunie si\u0119 nad zachodnie rejony kraju. Na wschodnie rejony klina wp\u0142ywa\u0107 b\u0119dzie ni\u017c znad Bia\u0142orusi.<\/p>\n

Prognoza g\u00f3rnego pola ci\u015bnienia<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Ni\u017c zalegaj\u0105cy nad Bia\u0142orusi\u0105 b\u0119dzie uk\u0142adem wysokim, wir b\u0119dzie si\u0119 pog\u0142\u0119bia\u0142. W rejonie Polski izohipsy b\u0119d\u0105 gi\u0119te na kszta\u0142t klina. Polska znajdzie si\u0119 na skraju klina.<\/p>\n

W\u0142a\u015bciwo\u015bci termiczne troposfery<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Nad Polsk\u0105 wyst\u0119puje ujemny k\u0105t adwekcji co wskazuje na adwekcj\u0119 ciep\u0142a. Obszar ch\u0142odu odsuwa si\u0119 na wsch\u00f3d. Od zachodu Polska zacznie dostawa\u0107 si\u0119 pod wp\u0142yw klina cieplejszej masy powietrza polarno-morskiego.<\/p>\n

Ewolucja pola wilgotno\u015bci w troposferze<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Na wysoko\u015bci 1,5 km wyst\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119dzie wilgotna masa powietrza.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Na wysoko\u015bci 5,5 km zalegaj\u0105ca masa powietrza b\u0119dzie sucha. W nocy, od zachodu, nasuwa\u0107 si\u0119 zacznie strefa zwi\u0119kszonej wilgotno\u015bci.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Na poziomie 300 hPa w ci\u0105gu dnia wyst\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119dzie masa powietrza umiarkowanie wilgotna oraz sucha. Od wieczora nasunie si\u0119 od zachodu strefa zwi\u0119kszonej wilgotno\u015bci.<\/p>\n

Prognoza zachmurzenia<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Pocz\u0105tkowo zachmurzenie og\u00f3lne du\u017ce. Po po\u0142udniu post\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119d\u0105 rozpogodzenia. Jedynie nisko nad horyzontem mog\u0105 by\u0107 widoczne chmury. W nocy od zachodu wzrost zachmurzenia do du\u017cego.<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Na niebie wyst\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119d\u0105 chmury Cumulus, mo\u017cliwe tak\u017ce Cumulus congestus. W nocy mog\u0105 pojawi\u0107 si\u0119 chmury Stratocumulus.<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Pocz\u0105tkowo chmury Altocumulus. Popo\u0142udniu i wieczorem brak chmur pi\u0119tra \u015bredniego. W nocy od zachodu nasunie si\u0119 strefa chmur Altocumulus.<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

W pi\u0119trze chmur wysokich nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 chmur Cirrus fibratus\/spissatus lub bezchmurnie w tym pi\u0119trze chmur. W nocy nasunie si\u0119 strefa chmur Cirrostratus fibratus.<\/p>\n

Prognoza opad\u00f3w<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W Gdyni opad\u00f3w brak.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury powietrza w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 temperatury 24\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 20\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 2 w nocy, 14-15\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury odczuwalnej w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 temperatury odczuwalnej 26\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 22\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 23 temperatura odczuwalna wyniesie 16\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury gruntu w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy grunt si\u0119 nagrzeje do temperatury 26\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura gruntu wyniesie 20\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 23 temperatura powierzchni obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 16\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza wiatru w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 \u015brednia wiatru wyniesie 16 km\/h. Pod wiecz\u00f3r wiatr os\u0142abnie, a jego pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 wyniesie 6 km\/h.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia w porywach pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 wiatru osi\u0105ga\u0107 b\u0119dzie warto\u015b\u0107 do 35\/37 km\/h. Wieczorem porywy b\u0119d\u0105 s\u0142abn\u0105\u0107. W nocy w porywach wiatr b\u0119dzie osi\u0105ga\u0142 pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 do 10-11 km\/h.<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia wiatr b\u0119dzie wia\u0142 z kierunku p\u00f3\u0142nocno zachodniego. Pod wiecz\u00f3r z kierunku zachodniego\/ zachodniego-po\u0142udniowo-zachodniego.<\/p>\n

Prognoza wilgotno\u015bci w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia wilgotno\u015b\u0107 b\u0119dzie komfortowa 49-50%. W nocy do 81-85%.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Komentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody opracowany w Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego IMGW-PIB.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"0","ocean_second_sidebar":"0","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"0","ocean_custom_header_template":"0","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"0","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[]},"categories":[93],"tags":[138,139,68,95,143,141,85,73,97,98,142,76,94,99,71,67,96,140,79],"yoast_head":"\nKomentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody (29.06.2023) Open'er Festival 2023 - 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