{"id":32698,"date":"2023-06-28T06:21:39","date_gmt":"2023-06-28T04:21:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cmm.imgw.pl\/?p=32698"},"modified":"2023-06-28T12:44:24","modified_gmt":"2023-06-28T10:44:24","slug":"komentarz-do-numerycznych-prognoz-pogody-28-06-2023-opener","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cmm.imgw.pl\/?p=32698","title":{"rendered":"Komentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody (28.06.2023) Open’er Festival 2023 – dzie\u0144 1"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tre\u015b\u0107 komentarza do numerycznych prognoz meteorologicznych stanowi niezale\u017cne od biura prognoz meteorologicznych opracowanie wykonane w Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego i nie stanowi oficjalnej prognozy synoptycznej IMGW-PIB.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Opracowanie:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

dr Grzegorz Duniec, Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego IMGW-PIB<\/mark><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

Sytuacja synoptyczna w Polsce w dniu 28 VI 2023 roku <\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz<\/p>\n

\"Obraz<\/p>\n

W \u015brod\u0119 p\u00f3\u0142nocne i cz\u0119\u015bciowo centralne rejony kraju b\u0119d\u0105 w zasi\u0119gu prawdopodobnie frontu okluzji. Front zwi\u0105zany b\u0119dzie z p\u0142ytkim ni\u017cem przemieszczaj\u0105cym si\u0119 na wsch\u00f3d. W \u015brod\u0119 jego o\u015brodek 1005 hPa znajdzie si\u0119 nad Bia\u0142orusi\u0105.<\/p>\n

Analiza g\u00f3rnego pola ci\u015bnienia<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Zalegaj\u0105cy nad Bia\u0142orusi\u0105 ni\u017c b\u0119dzie uk\u0142adem wysokim, z zamkni\u0119t\u0105 cyrkulacj\u0105 cykloniczn\u0105 do poziomu 300 hPa. W ci\u0105gu najbli\u017cszej doby ni\u017c b\u0119dzie si\u0119 pog\u0142\u0119bia\u0142 na wszystkich poziomach izobarycznych. W rejon Gdyni b\u0119dzie nap\u0142ywa\u0142o powietrze z NNE\/N.<\/p>\n

W\u0142a\u015bciwo\u015bci termiczne troposfery<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Obszar ch\u0142odu odsuwa si\u0119 na wsch\u00f3d. Od zachodu Polska zacznie dostawa\u0107 si\u0119 pod wp\u0142yw klina cieplejszej masy powietrza polarno-morskiego.<\/p>\n

Prognoza opad\u00f3w<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W rejonie Gdyni niewykluczone opady przelotne w godzinach dopo\u0142udniowych. Po po\u0142udniu zanik opad\u00f3w. Wieczorem i w nocy bez opad\u00f3w.<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Z wi\u0105zkowych przebieg\u00f3w modelu COSMO wynika, \u017ce w Gdyni opady o charakterze przelotnym b\u0119d\u0105 mo\u017cliwe w godzinach porannych. W p\u00f3\u017aniejszym okresie zanik opad\u00f3w. Wieczorem i w nocy opad\u00f3w brak.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury powietrza w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 temperatury 20\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 18\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 2 w nocy, 15\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury odczuwalnej w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 temperatury odczuwalnej 20-22\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 20\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 2 w nocy w czwartek, 14\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza temperatury gruntu w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W najcieplejszej porze dnia nale\u017cy grunt si\u0119 nagrzeje do temperatury 2\u00b0C. Wieczorem (godzina 20) temperatura gruntu wyniesie 18\u00b0C. Oko\u0142o godziny 2 w nocy w czwartek, temperatura powierzchni obni\u017cy si\u0119 do 14\u00b0C.<\/p>\n

Prognoza wiatru w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 \u015brednia wiatru wyniesie 10-13 km\/h. Pod wiecz\u00f3r wiatr os\u0142abnie, a jego pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 wyniesie 8-9 km\/h.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia w porywach pr\u0119dko\u015b\u0107 wiatru osi\u0105ga\u0107 b\u0119dzie warto\u015b\u0107 do 30 km\/h. Wieczorem porywy b\u0119d\u0105 s\u0142abn\u0105\u0107. W nocy w porywach do 19-20 km\/h.<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia wiatr b\u0119dzie wia\u0142 z kierunku p\u00f3\u0142nocno wschodniego. Pod wiecz\u00f3r z kierunku p\u00f3\u0142nocnego. W nocy wiatr b\u0119dzie wia\u0142 z kierunku p\u00f3\u0142nocno zachodniego i zachodniego.<\/p>\n

Prognoza wilgotno\u015bci w Gdyni<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia wilgotno\u015b\u0107 b\u0119dzie komfortowa, 62%. Wieczorem wzro\u015bnie do 76 %, a w nocy do 87-89%.<\/p>\n

Prognoza zachmurzenia w Gdyni i okolicach<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

W ci\u0105gu dnia nale\u017cy spodziewa\u0107 si\u0119 zachmurzenia umiarkowanego i du\u017cego. Popo\u0142udniu coraz wi\u0119cej rozpogodze\u0144. Wieczorem mo\u017cliwe nawet niebo bezchmurne lub zachmurzenie ma\u0142e. W nocy i nad ranem wzrost zachmurzenia.<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz<\/p>\n

Na niebie wyst\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119d\u0105 chmury Cumulus, Stratocumulus. Lokalnie Cumulonimbus. W nocy wyst\u0119powa\u0107 b\u0119d\u0105 chmury Stratocumulus, niewykluczone chmury Stratus. W ci\u0105gu dnia mo\u017cliwe tak\u017ce chmury Altocumulus oraz Cirrus i Cirrostratus. Popo\u0142udniu zanik zachmurzenia pi\u0119tra \u015bredniego, mog\u0105 okazjonalnie pojawi\u0107 si\u0119 niewielkie \u0142awice chmur Altocumulus. Wieczorem oraz w nocy mo\u017cliwe niewielkie \u0142awice chmur Cirrus. Rozk\u0142ad pola zachmurzenia na za\u0142\u0105czonych mapach.<\/p>\n

Prognoza widzialno\u015bci<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz \"Obraz <\/p>\n

W nocy w wielu rejonach mog\u0105 wyst\u0105pi\u0107 zamglenia ograniczaj\u0105ce widzialno\u015b\u0107.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Komentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody opracowany w Centrum Modelowania Meteorologicznego IMGW-PIB.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"0","ocean_second_sidebar":"0","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"0","ocean_custom_header_template":"0","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"0","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"0","ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[]},"categories":[93],"tags":[138,139,68,95,143,141,85,73,97,98,142,76,94,99,71,67,96,140,79],"yoast_head":"\nKomentarz do numerycznych prognoz pogody (28.06.2023) Open'er Festival 2023 - 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